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A new study presented at the annual congress of the European Respiratory Society in Amsterdam, it is expected that Belgium, France, Spain and Portugal will see the biggest climate-induced as a result of the increase in deaths related to ozone over the next 60 years.

This study is part of climate change TRAP project and evaluate the impact on the health of their leadership of Professor Bertil Forsberg from Umea University in Sweden. The goal is to prepare health care professionals to change public health posed by climate change.

According to World Health Organization (WHO), climate changes that have occurred since 1970, more than 140,000 extra deaths each year from 2004. Besides its impact on clean air, drinking water and crop production, many deadly diseases like malaria and those that cause diarrhea are particularly sensitive to climate changes.

In this new study, researchers used emission scenarios and models to assess the health impacts of climate change. They took two estimates greenhouse gas emissions scenarios A2, A1B and two global climate models ECHAM4 and Hadley, to simulate how different levels of ozone for the future is influenced by climate change.

They compared four periods: baseline period (1961-1990), the current situation (1990-2009), in the near future (2012-2050) and the far future (2041-2060).

The results show that in 1961, Belgium, Ireland, Holland and England the largest effect on deaths related to ozone because of climate change. The results predicted that the largest increase over the next 50 years is likely to be seen in Belgium, France, Spain and Portugal, who could expect an increase of between 10 and 14%. However, the Nordic and Baltic countries are expected to see a fall in the same period.

Dr. Hans Orru, air pollution expert from the University of Umea and University of Tartu, Estonia, says: “Ozone is highly oxidative pollutants related to hospitalizations and deaths from respiratory problems, ground-level ozone formation due to rise. As temperatures increase with climate change. The results of our study show that the potential impacts of climate change could have on ozone levels and how this change will affect the health of Europeans. ”

Professor Marc Decramer, President of ERS, said: “Outdoor air pollution is the greatest environmental threat in Europe if we do nothing to reduce levels of ozone and other pollutants, we see an increased intake of the hospital, extra drugs, and millions lost workdays. As part of the European Respiratory roadmap, launched last month, requires ERS to collaborative approach between health professionals and policy makers to protect vulnerable populations from harmful air pollutants.